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案例 1 Financial Modeling

Requirements ------------------------------------------------------------------------

School of Management: Financial Modelling

MODULE INFORMATION

Academic Year:     2011-12                          Semester:  One

Programme:            MSc Finance                         Lectures:   9

                     MSc Accounting & Finance

Times:        Friday 14:00-16:00 

           

MODULE AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

Aims

This course will provide a foundation in applied financial modelling. It is designed to show how quantitative techniques can be used to analyse financial information and aid decision making. An indication of the tools and techniques covered together with the required reading is given under each lecture heading.

All course members are required to undertake the specified reading prior to the lecture and perform tasks in any practical sessions.

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辅导Sample ------------------------------------------------------------------------

Introduction

The evaluation of a firm’s credit worthiness is important for the organisations which will provide loans to them. This report mainly focuses on the problem of credit evaluation. According to the findings of previous studies, a number of factors may determine the ultimate probability of default. Therefore, to solve this problem, the analysis of dominant variables is indispensible. The issue that I address will be the evaluation of credit worthiness taking advantage of the firm variables. It will be mainly composed of various data analysis. From the interpretation of the results, the factor which has significant effects on the probability of default can be found out and the problem of credit evaluation can be settled.

 

In this report, to evaluate the firm’s credit worthiness, I have conducted a brief research using some of the firm variables. Through the analysis of these variables, I want to find the internal relationships between the different independent variables and their impacts on the firm’s credit worthiness. This report will include the descriptive data analysis and the multivariate analysis. For each kind of analysis, a detail discussion and comments will be given to explain the meaning of the model and the findings through this analysis. At the end of this report, I will give my suggestions and comments with respect to my analysis.

Research Methodology

Quantitative data analysis will be mainly used in this research. First, descriptive data analysis of each variable will be presented to have an overall review of the collected data. More importantly, to evaluate the firm’s credit worthiness, bivariate multivariate analysis will be discussed in detail. To find the impacts of each factor, the regression model may be estimated to have an in-depth understanding of the effects the explanatory variables have on the dependent variable. All the analysis will be conducted with the help of EXCEL, SPSS or EVIEWS.

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